20/20 vision for 2021

It’s nearly time! So, here is everything you could want to know about the 2021 season…

The Drivers

Lewis Hamilton

Age: 36 | GPs: 266 | Titles: 7 | Wins: 95 | Poles: 98 | Podiums: 165

Valtteri Bottas

Age: 31 | GPs: 156 | Champ. Best: 2nd | Wins: 9 | Poles: 16 | Podiums: 56

Max Verstappen

Age: 23 | GPs: 119 | Champ. Best: 3rd | Wins: 10 | Poles: 3 | Podiums: 42

Sergio Pérez

Age: 31 | GPs: 191 | Champ. Best: 4th | Wins: 1 | Qual. Best: 3rd | Podiums: 10

Daniel Ricciardo

Age: 31 | GPs: 188 | Champ. Best: 3rd | Wins: 7 | Poles: 3 | Podiums: 31

Lando Norris

Age: 21 | GPs: 38 | Champ. Best: 9th | Race Best: 3rd | Qual. Best: 3rd | Podiums: 1

Sebastian Vettel

Age: 33 | GPs: 257 | Titles: 4 | Wins: 53 | Poles: 57 | Podiums: 121

Lance Stroll

Age: 22 | GPs: 78 | Champ. Best: 11TH | Race Best: 3rd | Poles: 1 | Podiums: 3

Fernando Alonso

Age: 39 | GPs: 312 | Titles: 2 | Wins: 32 | Poles: 22 | Podiums: 97

Esteban Ocon

Age: 24 | GPs: 67 | Champ. Best: 8TH | Race Best: 2nd | Qual. Best: 3rd | Podiums: 1

Charles Leclerc

Age: 23 | GPs: 59 | Champ. Best: 4th | Wins: 2 | Poles: 7 | Podiums: 12

Carlos Sainz

Age: 26 | GPs: 118 | Champ. Best: 6th | Race Best: 2nd | Qual. Best: 3rd | Podiums: 2

Pierre Gasly

Age: 25 | GPs: 64 | Champ. Best: 7th | Wins: 1 | Qual. Best: 4th | Podiums: 2

Yuki Tsunoda

Age: 20 | GPs: 0 | Champ. Best: n/a | Race Best: n/a | Qual. Best: n/a

Kimi Räikkönen

Age: 41 | GPs: 330 | Titles: 1 | Wins: 21 | Poles: 18 | Podiums: 103

Antonio Giovinazzi

Age: 27 | GPs: 40 | Champ. Best: 17th | Race Best: 5th | Qual. Best: 7th

Mick Schumacher

Age: 22 | GPs: 0 | Champ. Best: n/a | Race Best: n/a | Qual. Best: n/a

Nikita Mazepin

Age: 22 | GPs: 0 | Champ. Best: n/a | Race Best: n/a | Qual. Best: n/a

George Russell

Age: 23 | GPs: 38 | Champ. Best: 18th | Race Best: 9th | Qual. Best: 2nd

Nicholas Latifi

Age: 25 | GPs: 17 | Champ. Best: 21st | Race Best: 11th | Qual. Best: 15th

The Teams

Mercedes-AMG Petronas Formula One Team

FIRST GP: 1954 | GPS: 227 | Titles: 16 | WINS: 115 | POLES: 126 | PODIUMS: 236

Red Bull Racing Honda

FIRST GP: 2005 | GPS: 303 | Titles: 8 | WINS: 64 | POLES: 63 | PODIUMS: 183

McLaren F1 Team

FIRST GP: 1966 | GPS: 880 | Titles: 20 | WINS: 182 | POLES: 155 | PODIUMS: 488

Aston Martin Cognizant Formula One Team

FIRST GP: 1959 | GPS: 5 | CHAMP. BEST: N/C | RACE BEST: 6TH | QUAL. BEST: 2nd

Alpine F1 Team

FIRST GP: 2021 | GPS: 0 | Champ. Best: N/A | Race Best: N/A | Qual. Best: N/A

Scuderia Ferrari Mission Winnow

FIRST GP: 1950 | GPS: 1008 | Titles: 31 | WINS: 238 | POLES: 228 | PODIUMS: 773

Scuderia AlphaTauri Honda

FIRST GP: 2020 | GPS: 17 | CHAMP. BEST: 7th | Wins: 1 | QUAL. BEST: 4th | Podiums: 1

Alfa Romeo Racing Orlen

FIRST GP: 1950 | GPS: 148 | CHAMP. BEST: 6TH | WINS: 10 | POLES: 12 | PODIUMS: 26

Uralkali Haas F1 Team

FIRST GP: 2016 | GPS: 100 | CHAMP. BEST: 5TH | RACE BEST: 4TH | QUAL. BEST: 5TH

Williams Racing

FIRST GP: 1977 | GPS: 761 | Titles: 16 | WINS: 114 | POLES: 128 | PODIUMS: 312

The Grands Prix

Bahrain

SAKHIR | 26-28 MAR | LAPS: 57 | LENGTH: 5.412 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:31.447 (de la Rosa)

Emilia Romagna

Imola | 16-18 APR | LAPS: 63 | LENGTH: 4.909 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:15.484 (Hamilton)

Portugal

Portimão | 30 Apr-02 May | LAPS: 66 | LENGTH: 4,653 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:18,750 (Hamilton)

SPAIN

BARCELONA | 07-09 MAY | LAPS: 66 | LENGTH: 4.675 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:18.183 (Bottas)

Monaco

MONACO | 20-23 MAY | LAPS: 78 | LENGTH: 3.337 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:14.260 (Verstappen)

AZERBAIJAN

BAKU | 04-06 MAY | LAPS: 51 | LENGTH: 6.003 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:43.009 (leclerc)

CANADA

MONTRéAL | 11-13 JUN | LAPS: 70 | LENGTH: 4.361 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:13.078 (Bottas)

FRANCE

LE CASTELLET | 25-27 JUN | LAPS: 53 | LENGTH: 5.842 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:32.740 (Vettel)

AUSTRIA

SPIELBERG | 02-04 JUL | LAPS: 71 | LENGTH: 4.318 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:05.619 (Sainz)

GREAT BRITAIN

SILVERSTONE | 16-18 JUL | LAPS: 52 | LENGTH: 5.891 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:27.097 (Verstappen)

HUNGARY

Mogyoród | 30 JUL-01 AUG | LAPS: 70 | LENGTH: 4.381 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:16.627 (Hamilton)

BELGIUM

Stavelot | 27-29 AUG | LAPS: 44 | LENGTH: 7.004 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:46.286 (Bottas)

NETHERLANDS

ZANDVOORT | 03-05 SEP | LAPS: 72 | LENGTH: 4.259 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:16.538 (Prost)

ITALY

MONZA | 10-12 SEP | LAPS: 53 | LENGTH: 5.793 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:21.046 (Barrichello)

RUSSIA

SOCHI | 24-26 SEP | LAPS: 53 | LENGTH: 5.848 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:35.761 (Hamilton)

SINGAPORE

SINGAPORE | 01-03 Oct | LAPS: 61 | LENGTH: 5.063 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:41.905 (Magnussen)

JAPAN

SUZUKA | 08-10 OCT | LAPS: 53 | LENGTH: 5.807 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:30.983 (Hamilton)

UNITED STATES

AUSTIN | 22-24 OCT | LAPS: 56 | LENGTH: 5.513 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:36.169 (Leclerc)

MEXICO CITY

MEXICO CITY | 29-31 Oct | LAPS: 71 | LENGTH: 4.304 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:18.741 (Bottas)

BRAZIL

São Paulo | 05-07 NOV | LAPS: 71 | LENGTH: 4.309 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:10.540 (Bottas)

Australia

Melbourne | 19-21 Nov | Laps: 58 | Length: 5.303 km | Lap Record: 1:24.125 (Schumacher)

Saudi Arabia

Jeddah | 03-05 Dec | Laps: 50 | Length: 6.175 KM | Lap Record: N/A

ABU DHABI

ABU DHABI | 10-12 Dec | LAPS: 55 | LENGTH: 5.554 KM | LAP RECORD: 1:39.283 (Hamilton)

The Changes

Drivers

Sergio Pérez replaces Alexander Albon at Red Bull

Daniel Ricciardo replaces Carlos Sainz at McLaren

Sebastian Vettel replaces Sergio Pérez at Aston Martin

Fernando Alonso replaces Daniel Ricciardo at Alpine

Carlos Sainz replaces Sebastian Vettel at Ferrari

Yuki Tsunoda replaces Daniil Kvyat at AlphaTauri

Mick Schumacher replaces Romain Grosjean at Haas

Nikita Mazepin replaces Kevin Magnussen at Haas

Teams

Racing Point are rebranded as Aston Martin

Renault are rebranded as Alpine

Regulations

A budget cap of $145 million per year has been introduced

The floor of the cars will be ‘clipped’ in order to reduce downforce

Slots on the edge of the floor will be removed, brake duct winglets will be narrowed by 40 mm and diffuser fences will be narrowed by 50 mm to further reduce downforce

DAS has been banned

Teams will be required to allow a driver who has competed in fewer than two grands prix to replace one of their race drivers in a Friday practice session

Drivers using mixed compound sets or using sets allocated to another driver on their cars will be permitted to complete two laps before the driver must pit to correct the error before facing a penalty

Cars will be under parc fermé conditions following the end of free practice three instead of qualifying

All of Thursday’s events (media, promotions, scrutineering) will be moved to the Friday morning with the times between Friday’s activities being reduced

The Burning Questions

Can Lewis Hamilton make the record for the most world championships his own by taking an eighth title?

Will anyone be able to challenge him? Can Red Bull produce a car capable of doing so? Can Valtteri Bottas upgrade again to 4.0 or whatever model we’re up to?

Can Ferrari improve on their calamitous 2020 season and move back towards the front?

Will Pérez be able to compete with Max Verstappen?

Ditto Sainz with Charles Leclerc?

How much will Mercedes power help McLaren?

Will Alonso still be the same driver that left the sport in 2018?

Can Vettel rediscover his mojo at Aston Martin?

Will we see races being cancelled due to the virus?

How long until the first Kimi bwoah?

Let’s act like we know what’s going on in testing: 2021 edition

Pre-season testing is infamously hard to decipher and usually ends up in fans, pundits and the media jumping to conclusions that are, more often than not, totally wrong.

As you can see from this quiz, the car ending testing on top has very rarely proved to be on top when the lights go out for the opening race. And this year, more than ever before, there is very little to go on. Testing usually consists of two sets of three or four-day blocks but this year, thanks to the pandemic, the teams have had just three days to get to grips with their latest machines.

To compound matters further, conditions in Bahrain were very blustery and there was even a sandstorm

Nonetheless, let’s see what we can figure out.

Not Plain Sailing for Mercedes

Image credit: Getty Images

Mercedes have often been accused of ‘sandbagging’ during testing – and that would certainly have been easy in the Sakhir sandstorm – but this year, things look a little different. They have never been a team that does glory runs, but they have always maintained their metronomic consistency in pounding out lap after lap without issue.

This test, however, started badly with a gearbox glitch limiting Valtteri Bottas to seven laps on the first morning. And when seven-time world champion Lewis Hamilton got into the car, he struggled to keep it pointing in the right direction. A series of uncharacteristic spins – once even ending up beached in a gravel trap – demonstrated the lack of rear stability that currently blights the W12.

Mercedes have proven themselves especially adept at problem solving, though, and nobody would be surprised to see them lock out the front row in two weeks. After all, it is better to find these issues now than in Q1 at the first grand prix.

Red Bull on the Rise

The struggles over at the Silver Arrows garage give a little hope for a more competitive season in 2021 and, if they do falter, Red Bull appear well-positioned to capitalise.

Max Verstappen produced the fastest time of the test and the Red Bull appeared on rails barring one early half-spin for the Dutchman. With AlphaTauri also often near the top of the timesheets – rookie Yuki Tsunoda even finished the final day a little under a tenth off Verstappen’s headline time – perhaps the new Honda power unit has made a significant jump in performance.

Either way, Red Bull’s Achilles’ heel in recent years has been a lack of understanding of their car in the early part of the season so, if they are on top of it already, that bodes well for their title challenge. The experience of Sergio Pérez should also help to develop the car; an area in which their academy prospects of the last two years will have struggled.

The Battle for Best of the Rest

Behind the likely top two teams, it’s anybody’s guess. The midfield was incredibly close last year, with McLaren ultimately edging the battle for third in the Constructors’ Championship, just ahead of Racing Point and Renault.

In the three months since the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, those two names have ceased to be, with Racing Point transforming into Aston Martin and Renault becoming Alpine. Aston Martin were many experts’ choice for the bronze medal this year, thanks to their acquisition of the fabled 2020 Mercedes rear suspension and the expertise brought by four-time world champion Sebastian Vettel.

Things have not started smoothly for the British racing green team, however, with varying technical problems reducing their running time significantly. Vettel completed the fewest laps of any driver. Their ultimate pace is still an unknown, though, as they focused exclusively on long runs and propped up the timing sheets on the final day, three seconds slower than the rest of the field.

McLaren are looking strong with no issues from their change to Mercedes power and some decent flying lap times. They also have a somewhat controversial interpretation of the new diffuser regulations which has garnered much attention. It has not yet been banned by the FIA and, if allowed to remain, will not be easy for the other teams to copy.

Alpine also kept their true pace under wraps but showed impressive consistency and ended with a healthy number of laps completed. Fernando Alonso picked up where he left off in 2018 and didn’t appear to be suffering any ill effects from his cycling accident last month. Whilst there were a few niggles for FerrariCharles Leclerc brought about the first red flag of the test – they are fairly positive with their progress. Particularly in terms of straight line which was, by far, their largest issue in 2020. The Scuderia will be hopeful of, at the very least, moving up from their lowly sixth position in last year’s standings.

As mentioned, AlphaTauri have looked very strong throughout the test and tied with Alfa Romeo for most laps completed at 422. Veteran Kimi Räikkönen said, “I guess we are faster than at our best at the end of 2020, but whether that translates into a better performance in the races, that we will have to see.” It looks likely that Williams and Haas will be fighting over the wooden spoon but with the order from last year reversed. Particularly as Guenther Steiner confirmed there would be no updates to this year’s Haas.

Some Predictions I’ll Probably Regret Making

Okay, time to put my neck on the line, make some outrageous predictions and then see just how wrong I was in nine months’ time.

World Champion

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MAX VERSTAPPEN

I know, I know. All the smart money is on Hamilton to seal that record-breaking eighth title in a year where the regulations have changed a relatively small amount since a Mercedes domination. But I just have a gut feeling. Verstappen seems to be getting stronger and, as mentioned, the Red Bull start to the year was far smoother than that of Mercedes. So, why not? Maybe the changing of the guard will arrive one year early than expected…

Surprise Winner

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DANIEL RICCIARDO

2020 saw two shock victories from Pierre Gasly and Pérez. They were arguably the first surprise winners since Pastor Maldonado in 2012 but, with Ferrari now in the midfield, there are only four front-running cars and that increases the chance of someone sneaking in there when the leaders trip up. And who better than Daniel Ricciardo? He has that knack for capitalising when the chance is there and McLaren appear to be on an upward trajectory. Shoeys all round.

Surprise Podium

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NICO HÜLKENBERG

The Hulk appears to be the reserve driver for half of the grid at this point, after proving his ability to step into a car on short notice and produce an impressive performance three times last year. He has been linked with stand-in roles for Red Bull, Aston Martin, McLaren and even Mercedes. Whilst Verstappen has been controversially vaccinated against COVID-19, most of the grid still has not and it seems likely that somebody will be forced to miss at least one race at some point. Let the curse finally be broken.

The 2021 season starts here

All the teams’ new challengers have now been launched – or at least the liveries have, with as little as possible given away in terms of their actual design.

So, as ever, there’s not a huge amount to garner from these launches but let’s at least talk about how pretty (or not, or familiar) the new liveries are and look for any significant design tweaks.

Mercedes-AMG Petronas Formula One Team

Image credit: Mercedes-AMG

Mercedes stick with a black arrow for one more season, but have removed the sea of stars that adorned the rear of the engine cover on the last two cars. They have, in fact, been replaced by a sea of AMGs…

Whilst that has proved somewhat unpopular, the rest of the car is as sleek as ever. There is an increased presence of INEOS red, in line with their increased stake in the team, which makes the entire livery feel more together than last year’s. The font of the driver numbers has also finally been changed from what appeared to be default Arial in recent years.

Predictably Mercedes have revealed none of the tricks they may have up their sleeve this year – remember that they started work on this car earlier than any other team – so let’s see what car arrives at the pre-season tests…

Red Bull Racing Honda

Image credit: Red Bull Racing

It’s yet another Ctrl+C, Ctrl+V job from Red Bull. Whilst it’s still a nice livery, it would have been nice to see a bit of a change. Perhaps they could have leaned a bit harder on the Red Bull yellow now that Renault have left that spot on the F1 colour wheel vacant.

There is some intense bargeboard work going on in the release photos, but Red Bull have often put something on the car to draw the eye at launch day only for it to disappear by the first test. So, let’s take that with a pinch of salt.

McLaren F1 Team

Image credit: McLaren F1

Bar a tiny bit of extra blue on the nose, the MCL35M is a carbon copy of the MCL35 in terms of livery. However, that ‘M’ is very significant and means that McLaren have likely had the biggest change in car over the winter.

That’s because that ‘M’ stands for Mercedes. McLaren have left Renault behind and the difference it has made to their aerodynamics around the power unit are huge. The cumbersome Renault engine took up a lot of space but the MCL35M’s engine cover is narrower even than last year’s Mercedes. If the Mercedes power pushes McLaren forward in the manner than many expect, they could well be challenging for regular podiums.

Aston Martin Cognizant Formula One Team

Image credit: Aston Martin F1

Aston Martin are finally back – and so is British racing green! Once the deal with BWT was announced, many feared the pink linked with their sponsorship would produce some kind of watermelon monstrosity. But the designers have, in fact, succeeded in combining the two elegantly.

It is deeper shade of pink and kept to just a couple of accents which surprisingly compliment the green. The rest of the design is very simple – one could argue unambitious – but the colour is the main attraction and looks predictably stunning in natural light. Will last year’s ‘Pink Mercedes’ be as successful as a ‘Green Mercedes’?

Alpine F1 Team

Image credit: Alpine F1

Onto another rebrand; this one with a distinctly French feel. The traditional Renault yellow has sadly gone from the grid, but the Alpine livery has turned out to be stunning. A metallic, electric blue, combined with a simple Tricolore effect towards the back is elegant but striking.

With a Renault engine underneath, the Alpine still has a distinctly wider engine cover than the rest of the grid. However, if the engine has been improved and can help move them closer to the top end of the field, they won’t mind one bit. They certainly won’t want Fernando discussing GP2 engines over the radio again.

Scuderia Ferrari Mission Winnow

Image credit: Scuderia Ferrari

Shockingly, it’s not just red! Usually the most predictable launch of the year, Ferrari have gone more controversial for 2021. With a fade towards a darker shade of red at the back and a real curveball with a green Mission Winnow logo on the engine cover.

There are some interesting ideas but the execution seems slightly off – a white border around the green would likely have made it clash less. Not that the green logo is all that important in the grand scheme of things as Mission Winnow is banned in most of the Western world and will likely be gone after the Bahrain Grand Prix.

The nose has changed significantly as Ferrari move in the direction the rest of the field has already pursued and the Scuderia will have all their fingers crossed that the engine has been significantly improved so that they can claw back some performance after last year’s embarrassment. The new livery was leaked by a ‘hacker’ who set their computer clock ahead…so it’s not been the best start.

Scuderia AlphaTauri Honda

Image credit: Scuderia AlphaTauri

The team formerly known as Toro Rosso (and Minardi, of course) have produced another decent livery. It is similar to their design from last year but with the navy blue to white ratio skewed towards the former.

AlphaTauri have also used their allotted development tokens to redesign the nose. Whilst the official release images show last year’s nose, the team tested at Imola a few days later with a noticeably more slender design.

Alfa Romeo Racing Orlen

Image credit: Alfa Romeo Racing

Seemingly one of the Alfa Romeo designers accidentally hit ‘invert’ on last year’s livery and then decided it actually looked pretty good. And, in fairness, it does. It oozes that Alfa Romeo class and the green quadrifoglio added to the engine cover is also a nice touch.

They have added some interesting design features to the front of the car; the purpose of which I won’t claim to understand just yet, but will likely be hypothesised by Ted Kravitz as some point during the Sky testing coverage.

Uralkali Haas F1 Team

Image credit: Haas F1

Well then. Formula 1’s ‘American’ team is now effectively sporting a shiny, Russian flag. Since their arrival in 2015, Haas have resisted the temptation to produce any kind of stars and stripes livery, sticking to their traditional brand colours of grey and red. But then in came the controversial Mazepin family.

Rookie driver Nikita received backlash for a series of misdemeanours – both on track and off track – and many are pushing the #WeSayNoToMazepin movement. It appears, though, that he is going nowhere, largely thanks to Haas’s desperation for his father’s Uralkali funding. It would not be a surprise to see the Russian oligarch buy out the team within the next couple of years.

There is added irony in that Mazepin will not be allowed to race under the Russian flag, thanks to the CAS ruling on Russian doping. Apparently he is allowed to drive in a big, Russian flag, however.

Williams Racing

Image credit: Williams Racing

Williams had planned for an innovative VR launch of their new livery but, unfortunately, the app they were using was hacked and the designs leaked early. The response has been mixed but the blue, yellow and white is a nice nod to their infamous liveries in the early 90s.

True, the final design could perhaps have been improved – as shown by many armchair designers on Reddit – but it is a decent attempt at something different. Plus, it is always more difficult with the constraints of board executives and sponsors to please. It’s a shame BWT didn’t sign up with Williams and produce a blue-and-pink number akin to Damon Hill’s 1992 Brabham, perhaps. There is a lot of blue and white on this year’s grid…